Saturday, May 18, 2024

Bitcoin’s Next Halving Event: Expectations, Challenges, and Potential Impact on the Market

© 2023 The CryptoApa, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Stanislav Shishkin
Stanislav Shishkin
Stanislav is one of the lead copywriters on and discusses all recent events in the crypto market. This includes news updates, but also price analyzes and more. He developed his passion for cryptocurrency during the bull run in 2017. He has learned a lot since then. The combination of cryptocurrency and creative writing is perfect for Jeroen and an excellent way to share his knowledge with a wide audience. Stanislav at

Bitcoin has enjoyed a 67% increase since the beginning of 2023, currently hovering around $27,000. Bloomberg Intelligence and Matrixport analysts suggest that the upcoming halving event could ignite a substantial rally, with some predicting that Bitcoin could surpass $50,000 by April 2024. Jamie Douglas Coutts, a Bloomberg Intelligence analyst, estimates that the halving is already 50% priced in based on previous cycles. Coutts also notes that Bitcoin cycles typically bottom out 12-18 months before a halving event, and the current cycle follows a similar trajectory.

bitcoin photo

However, there are challenges ahead for Bitcoin. The recent rally has been hindered by diminishing expectations of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and ongoing inflation concerns. Additionally, the FTX exchange collapse in November 2022 and potential regulatory clampdowns on crypto pose further challenges to the market. Jacob Joseph, an analyst at CCData, suggests that if the FTX collapse marked the low point of this cycle, there may be roughly 350 days of “accumulation” left before the post-halving breakout occurs. Meanwhile, Matrixport’s research head, Markus Thielen, predicts that Bitcoin could reach around $65,623 by April 2024, more than doubling its current value.

Bitcoin’s current price is still significantly below its all-time high of nearly $69,000, achieved in November 2021, 18 months after the 2020 halving. Joseph cautions that Bitcoin’s future growth may not match previous cycles as the increased market size and competition from other digital assets could limit its potential. Bitcoin must overcome key hurdles, including the 20-day EMA and the 50-day SMA, before a strong recovery can begin. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at $27,686.

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